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- 2025.08.09 will we go pop?
2025.08.09 will we go pop?
n qracky
September 09, 2025 • Estimated Reading Time: 4 minutes
🌟 Welcome!
🔢 The Numbers
Above 23850.25 begets 23882.00 again. she needs to pop out of that to finally hit 23929-23931.25. If she can close above 23932.25 then we’re in all time high land (24069), and likely to see it. Note ATH was made and lost 5 minutes into the session it was made, so she could blow right through it next time, OR, it could be a “welp we’ve tapped time to sell” situation. | Below Staying below 23850.25 during the session opens us up back to August VAH: 23819.75, and ultimately 23801 PDPOC. Lose tha, and we retest 23769.75, and a short fall to 23760.25. She may spike it and turn it back around, but a gap fill downwards is on the table, back to the previous week value area high at 2 3698.5. Losing that is bearish territory. |
📸 The Big Picture
I’m gonna do something a little different and share the regular trading session, to emphasize the gaps. Overall, we’re bullish, trying to crack the red zone above. Yesterday was quiet, certainly in anticipation of news.
Overall this week they're still climbing, creeping, building energy for our red zone above (starting at 23929.25), as far as I'm concerned. It’s seemed to be a weak, quiet climb, which means we may be in for some fireworks in the upwards direcion, or they don’t have the juice.
Of note is that we did have a nice rejection at the 3 sig hi of the previous week.
This seems to suggest that longer term players did their business there. This is a critical spot to get to before we can make it to our so-called magnetic numbers. NFP revision is this morning, PPI tomorrow, inflation rate on 9/11.
We have plenty of news this next week or two to finally get us there, or push us back down for a retreat below. We currently have an unfilled gap at 23760.25, and if we lose it, expect 23698.50.
This was previously a poor high that she revisited outside of hours,
so i personally don’t consider it really cleaned up, and given they’ve gapped over it, it’s unfinished business below. They may not get there, but I’m keeping an eye on that area.
So in short, we have a bull/bear case:
bullish — she’s headed towards our magnetic 23929 zone still, so it’s on the table this week
bearish — she just can’t make it, and we’ve triple topped our way to head back towards August’s value area.
📰 News
From now until end of the week we have a few bangers. Let’s see how they move ‘em.
Date | Time | Description |
|---|---|---|
Monday, 9/9/2025 | 10:00:00 AM | US Non Farm Payrolls Annual Revision |
Tuesday, 9/10/2025 | 8:30:00 AM | US PPI MoM |
Wednesday, 9/11/2025 | 8:30:00 AM | US Core Inflation Rate YoY |
Wednesday, 9/11/2025 | 8:30:00 AM | US Inflation Rate YoY |
Wednesday, 9/11/2025 | 8:30:00 AM | US Inflation Rate MoM |
Wednesday, 9/11/2025 | 8:30:00 AM | US Core Inflation Rate MoM |
Thursday, 9/12/2025 | 10:00:00 AM | US Michigan Consumer Sentiment Prel |
Here’s to patience, learning, and profits!
