2025.09.23 -- turnaround tuesday, or follow through?

🌟 Welcome!

slow start this morning. amazing what dog sitting can do to my brain. At any rate…we definitely accepted yesterday’s spike. she broke under and recovered. breaking out of, then back into an area is a great signal of potential continuation, and boy did she continue. made it up to our zone. in fact, the top of my zone is the Point of Control for the day, and, of course, she chose to close in that neighbnorhood, in order to create the "can go either way" scenario. let’s see what I’m looking at this morning right before the bell…

🔢 The Numbers

Above

25019.5 will quickly take us to 25023.5. if she can close candles above, we’ll see more sunshine. I have 25096.5 as a target for starters.

Below

below 25019.5 will threaten 24980 again, via 24993.5, anything lower than our 24980.25 will give us 24957.75…and there’s a ways to fall: 24915.0, 24888, 234878.75 , and 24861.0. Anything lower than that and watch out.

📸 The Big Picture

Yesterday we got a lil double distribution. The main POC is at our top of the zone, with essentially an additional POC in the lower zone. We’ve been hovering in the upper zone all night, and this morning.


We lost the spike area three times overnight. They don't want to lose it (rather, they know they can’t lose it for continuation), but they keep testing it. Keep an eye out during the session. will she lose it completely before the session end? If so, we’ll be playing in our lower distribution, with the POC right around that green red green flagpole.

If we can hold it, or if we lose it during session and recover, there’s more upside ahead. if she loses and stays there longer than a few minutes at open, look for more downside until she can recover, if at all.

We’re in a balance, bouncing up and down in a flag, not sure if they’ll break down or go higher for the day, we’ll see.

📰 News

Date

Time

Description

Monday, 9/23/2025

10:00:00 AM

US Existing Home Sales

Monday, 9/23/2025

12:35:00 PM

US Fed Chair Powell Speech

Here’s to patience, learning, and profits!