2025.12.04 the slow grind

🌟 Welcome!

🔢 The Numbers

Above

make it to and hold above 25676.5 so we can hit 25711.0. if accepted, it’s up to 25826, 25875.5, and above. a route into 25973.5 would be extra spicy if they make it there, today

Below

dipping below 25541.75 is bearish for the day, and if she can’t recover, and dips below 25519.25, then she’ll have to hold 25494, we’ll be back at our friend 25443.75. Losing this puts 25402.25 back on the table.

📸 The Big Picture

Basically nothing. Means there’ll be something..soon.

For the past two days she’s been consolidating-ish, while moving upward. The market certainly wants to retest the all time high area, we’ll just have to see if it’s time, this week.

I will say this: above the monthly vwap so expect a dip into this territory sooner than later, before moving higher. They don’t have to, but it certainly is not unexpected..reversion to the mean is the norm. Below that, there’s a VPOC, aka unfinished business, that still could stand to be handled sooner rather than later.

On the up side..., she could just take off into previous ATH territory, given we’re at the cusp, and hovering near yesterday’s highs. often when she’s hanging right below (i.e. not above) but not losing it, this is what we look for. If we start to dump sharply, however, we have our destinations below.

Will she ride on a rocket, or will she drop us back to this cold world after giving us a star on this ride? (iykyk) we have some stacked news at 10:00a.m. today so we’ll see.

📰 News

Date

Day

Time

Country

Event

12/5/2025

Thursday

10:00 AM

US

Michigan Consumer Sentiment Prel

12/5/2025

Thursday

10:00 AM

US

Core PCE Price Index MoM

12/5/2025

Thursday

10:00 AM

US

Personal Income MoM

12/5/2025

Thursday

10:00 AM

US

Personal Spending MoM

All releasing at 10:00 AM this morning! Wild stuff. We’ll see if this moves us.

Here’s to patience, learning, and profits!