[nqrack] 2025-05-15 we gonna do this or nah?

Are we continuing to glory, sell it all off, or just sit around?

The Numbers

Above

She wants to stay above 21294.75 to have a chance to get bullish for the day. Then there’s 21342.5 to contend with. Pushing past 21399.25 and our 21403.5 resistance opens our door to 21725.25, which is a pretty high target. It’s met with some resistance at at least 21547, for starters. beyond 21725.25, then, we’ll see if they really want to goose the tape to 22046.25 today
unlikely, but anything can happen.

Below

Currently we’re on the lower side of this bullish flag, and if they drop ‘em, they’re going to amke a stop to test the overnight low and pivot area around 21198-21186.5. It could be a quick drop to 21136, and then to retest 21042.75, and potentially 20958. Bulls certainly don’t wanna lose 20958, as it will have them testing 2024 levels starting with 20836. I haven’t even done the research, but based on the price action, there may have been quite a lot of new buying at that level.

The Big Picture

Allow me to quote myself from yesterday:

However, with PPI and other heavy hitters tomorrow morning, she may dilly dally sometimes above and below, but I’ll just say it wouldn’t be surprising if she either stays in this range, or pops above or below and returns to it. But I also won’t be surprised if she just continues to grind higher.

And yes, she dilly dallied yesterday. popped above for a second (and gave me a bad trade, not gonna lie), then right back into the area to dilly dally in the balance. We took an overnight dump, but began to turn around, making a higher low from Tuesday’s 5/13 we’ll call it a “pivot”, and then recovering the 3 sigma low of a 3 day balance:

However, did she make a higher low? or did she leave unfinished business
Very Important News today that could move the tape downward below that pivot, and to the single print at 21136.0

News

The bigguns
 if they don’t move anything immediately, I’d still be careful for some heavy activity at market open. But most folk expect PPI days to be less than quiet. ;-)

Date

Time

Description

5/15/2025

8:30:00 AM

US PPI MoM

5/15/2025

8:30:00 AM

US Retail Sales MoM

Here’s to patience, confidence, learning, and profits! đŸ«Ą

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